97 |
A series of forward sensitivity experiments have been carried out on |
A series of forward sensitivity experiments have been carried out on |
98 |
an Arctic Ocean domain with open boundaries. The objective is to |
an Arctic Ocean domain with open boundaries. The objective is to |
99 |
compare the old B-grid LSR dynamic solver with the new C-grid LSR and |
compare the old B-grid LSR dynamic solver with the new C-grid LSR and |
100 |
EVP solvers. Additional experiments are is carried out to illustrate |
EVP solvers. Additional experiments are carried out to illustrate |
101 |
the differences between different ice advection schemes, ocean-ice |
the differences between different ice advection schemes, ocean-ice |
102 |
stress formulations and the two main options for sea ice |
stress formulations and the two main options for sea ice |
103 |
thermodynamics in the MITgcm. |
thermodynamics in the MITgcm. |
106 |
\reffig{arctic_topog}. It is carved out from, and obtains open |
\reffig{arctic_topog}. It is carved out from, and obtains open |
107 |
boundary conditions from, the global cubed-sphere configuration |
boundary conditions from, the global cubed-sphere configuration |
108 |
described above. The horizontal domain size is 420 by 384 grid boxes. |
described above. The horizontal domain size is 420 by 384 grid boxes. |
109 |
\begin{figure} |
\begin{figure*} |
110 |
\centerline{{\includegraphics*[width=0.44\linewidth]{\fpath/topography}}} |
%\includegraphics*[width=0.44\linewidth,viewport=139 210 496 606,clip]{\fpath/topography} |
111 |
\caption{Bathymetry and domain boudaries of Arctic |
%\includegraphics*[width=0.44\linewidth,viewport=0 0 496 606,clip]{\fpath/topography} |
112 |
Domain. The letters label sections in the Canadian Archipelago, |
\includegraphics*[width=0.44\linewidth]{\fpath/topography} |
113 |
where ice transport is evaluated. |
\includegraphics*[width=0.46\linewidth]{\fpath/archipelago} |
114 |
|
\caption{Left: Bathymetry and domain boudaries of Arctic |
115 |
|
Domain; the dashed line marks the boundaries of the inset on the |
116 |
|
right hand side. The letters in the inset label sections in the |
117 |
|
Canadian Archipelago, where ice transport is evaluated: |
118 |
|
A: Nares Strait; % |
119 |
|
B: \ml{Meighen Island}; % |
120 |
|
C: Prince Gustaf Adolf Sea; % |
121 |
|
D: \ml{Brock Island}; % |
122 |
|
E: M'Clure Strait; % |
123 |
|
F: Amundsen Gulf; % |
124 |
|
G: Lancaster Sound; % |
125 |
|
H: Barrow Strait \ml{W.}; % |
126 |
|
I: Barrow Strait \ml{E.}; % |
127 |
|
J: Barrow Strait \ml{N.}. % |
128 |
|
The sections A through F comprise the total inflow into the Canadian |
129 |
|
Archipelago. \ml{[May still need to check the geography.]} |
130 |
\label{fig:arctic_topog}} |
\label{fig:arctic_topog}} |
131 |
\end{figure} |
\end{figure*} |
132 |
|
|
133 |
|
The main dynamic difference from cube sphere is that the Arctic domain |
134 |
|
configuration does not use rescaled vertical coordinates (z$^\ast$) |
135 |
|
and the surface boundary conditions for freshwater input are |
136 |
|
different, because those features are not supported by the open |
137 |
|
boundary code. |
138 |
|
% |
139 |
|
Open water, dry ice, wet ice, dry snow, and wet snow albedo are, |
140 |
|
respectively, 0.15, 0.85, 0.76, 0.94, and 0.8. |
141 |
|
|
142 |
The main dynamic difference from cube sphere is that it does not use |
The model is integrated from Jan~01, 1992 to Mar~31, 2000, |
143 |
rescaled vertical coordinates (z$^\ast$) and the surface boundary |
with three different dynamical solvers, two different boundary |
144 |
conditions for freshwater input are different, because those features |
conditions, different stress coupling, rheology, and advection |
145 |
are not supported by the open boundary code. |
schemes. \reftab{experiments} gives an overview over the experiments |
146 |
|
discussed in this section. |
147 |
Open water, dry ice, wet ice, dry snow, and wet snow albedo are, respectively, 0.15, 0.85, |
\begin{table}[htbp] |
148 |
0.76, 0.94, and 0.8. |
\begin{tabular}{p{.3\linewidth}p{.65\linewidth}} |
149 |
|
experiment name & description \\ \hline |
150 |
The model is integrated from January, 1992 to March \ml{[???]}, 2000, |
B-LSR-ns & the original LSOR solver of \citet{zhang97} on an |
|
with three different dynamical solvers and two different boundary |
|
|
conditions: |
|
|
\begin{description} |
|
|
\item[B-LSR-ns:] the original LSOR solver of \citet{zhang97} on an |
|
151 |
Arakawa B-grid, implying no-slip lateral boundary conditions |
Arakawa B-grid, implying no-slip lateral boundary conditions |
152 |
($\vek{u}=0$ exactly); |
($\vek{u}=0$ exactly) \\ |
153 |
\item[C-LSR-ns:] the LSOR solver discretized on a C-grid with no-slip lateral |
C-LSR-ns & the LSOR solver discretized on a C-grid with no-slip lateral |
154 |
boundary conditions (implemented via ghost-points); |
boundary conditions (implemented via ghost-points) \\ |
155 |
\item[C-LSR-fs:] the LSOR solver on a C-grid with free-slip lateral boundary |
C-LSR-fs & the LSOR solver on a C-grid with free-slip lateral boundary |
156 |
conditions; |
conditions \\ |
157 |
\item[C-EVP-ns:] the EVP solver of \citet{hunke01} on a C-grid with |
C-EVP-ns & the EVP solver of \citet{hunke01} on a C-grid with |
158 |
no-slip lateral boundary conditions; and |
no-slip lateral boundary conditions and $\Delta{t}_\mathrm{evp} = |
159 |
\item[C-EVP-fs:] the EVP solver on a C-grid with free-slip lateral |
150\text{\,s}$ \\ |
160 |
boundary conditions. |
C-EVP-ns10 & the EVP solver of \citet{hunke01} on a C-grid with |
161 |
\end{description} |
no-slip lateral boundary conditions and $\Delta{t}_\mathrm{evp} = |
162 |
|
10\text{\,s}$ \\ |
163 |
|
C-LSR-ns HB87 & C-LSR-ns with ocean-ice stress coupling according |
164 |
|
to \citet{hibler87}\\ |
165 |
|
C-LSR-ns TEM & C-LSR-ns with a truncated ellispe method (TEM) |
166 |
|
rheology \citep{hibler97} \\ |
167 |
|
C-LSR-ns WTD & C-LSR-ns with 3-layer thermodynamics following |
168 |
|
\citet{winton00} \\ |
169 |
|
C-LSR-ns DST3FL& C-LSR-ns with a third-order flux limited |
170 |
|
direct-space-time advection scheme for thermodynamic variables |
171 |
|
\citep{hundsdorfer94} |
172 |
|
\end{tabular} |
173 |
|
\caption{Overview over model simulations in \refsec{arctic}. |
174 |
|
\label{tab:experiments}} |
175 |
|
\end{table} |
176 |
|
%\begin{description} |
177 |
|
%\item[B-LSR-ns:] the original LSOR solver of \citet{zhang97} on an |
178 |
|
% Arakawa B-grid, implying no-slip lateral boundary conditions |
179 |
|
% ($\vek{u}=0$ exactly); |
180 |
|
%\item[C-LSR-ns:] the LSOR solver discretized on a C-grid with no-slip lateral |
181 |
|
% boundary conditions (implemented via ghost-points); |
182 |
|
%\item[C-LSR-fs:] the LSOR solver on a C-grid with free-slip lateral boundary |
183 |
|
% conditions; |
184 |
|
%\item[C-EVP-ns:] the EVP solver of \citet{hunke01} on a C-grid with |
185 |
|
% no-slip lateral boundary conditions and $\Delta{t}_\mathrm{evp} = |
186 |
|
% 150\text{\,s}$; |
187 |
|
%\item[C-EVP-fs:] the EVP solver on a C-grid with free-slip lateral |
188 |
|
% boundary conditions and $\Delta{t}_\mathrm{evp} = 150\text{\,s}$; |
189 |
|
%\item[C-LSR-ns DST3FL:] C-LSR-ns with a third-order flux limited |
190 |
|
% direct-space-time advection scheme \citep{hundsdorfer94}; |
191 |
|
%\item[C-LSR-ns TEM:] C-LSR-ns with a truncated ellispe method (TEM) |
192 |
|
% rheology \citep{hibler97}; |
193 |
|
%\item[C-LSR-ns HB87:] C-LSR-ns with ocean-ice stress coupling according |
194 |
|
% to \citet{hibler87}; |
195 |
|
%\item[C-LSR-ns WTD:] C-LSR-ns with 3-layer thermodynamics following |
196 |
|
% \citet{winton00}; |
197 |
|
%%\item[C-EVP-ns damp:] C-EVP-ns with additional damping to reduce small |
198 |
|
%% scale noise \citep{hunke01}; |
199 |
|
%\item[C-EVP-ns10:] the EVP solver of \citet{hunke01} on a C-grid with |
200 |
|
% no-slip lateral boundary conditions and $\Delta{t}_\mathrm{evp} = |
201 |
|
% 10\text{\,s}$. |
202 |
|
%\end{description} |
203 |
Both LSOR and EVP solvers solve the same viscous-plastic rheology, so |
Both LSOR and EVP solvers solve the same viscous-plastic rheology, so |
204 |
that differences between runs B-LSR-ns, C-LSR-ns, and C-EVP-ns can be |
that differences between runs B-LSR-ns, C-LSR-ns, and C-EVP-ns can be |
205 |
interpreted as pure model error. Lateral boundary conditions on a |
interpreted as pure model error. Lateral boundary conditions on a |
206 |
coarse grid (compared to the roughness of the true coast line) are |
coarse grid (coarse compared to the roughness of the true coast line) are |
207 |
unclear, so that comparing the no-slip solutions to the free-slip |
unclear, so that comparing the no-slip solutions to the free-slip |
208 |
solutions gives another measure of uncertainty in sea ice modeling. |
solutions gives another measure of uncertainty in sea ice modeling. |
209 |
|
The remaining experiments explore further sensitivities of the system |
210 |
|
to different physics (change in rheology, advection and diffusion |
211 |
|
properties, stress coupling, and thermodynamics) and different time |
212 |
|
steps for the EVP solutions: \citet{hunke01} uses 120 subcycling steps |
213 |
|
for the EVP solution. We use two interpretations of this choice where |
214 |
|
the EVP model is subcycled 120 times within a (short) model timestep |
215 |
|
of 1200\,s resulting in a very long and expensive integration |
216 |
|
($\Delta{t}_\mathrm{evp}=10\text{\,s}$) and 120 times within the |
217 |
|
forcing timescale of 6\,h ($\Delta{t}_\mathrm{evp}=150\text{\,s}$). |
218 |
|
|
219 |
A principle difficulty in comparing the solutions obtained with |
A principle difficulty in comparing the solutions obtained with |
220 |
different variants of the dynamics solver lies in the non-linear |
different realizations of the model dynamics lies in the non-linear |
221 |
feedback of the ice dynamics and thermodynamics. Already after a few |
feedback of the ice dynamics and thermodynamics. Already after a few |
222 |
months the solutions have diverged so far from each other that |
months the solutions have diverged so far from each other that |
223 |
comparing velocities only makes sense within the first 3~months of the |
comparing velocities only makes sense within the first 3~months of the |
231 |
no-slip and free-slip solution. The velocity field of the C-LSR-ns |
no-slip and free-slip solution. The velocity field of the C-LSR-ns |
232 |
solution (\reffig{iceveloc}a) roughly resembles the drift velocities |
solution (\reffig{iceveloc}a) roughly resembles the drift velocities |
233 |
of some of the AOMIP (Arctic Ocean Model Intercomparison Project) |
of some of the AOMIP (Arctic Ocean Model Intercomparison Project) |
234 |
models in an cyclonic circulation regime (CCR) \citep[their |
models in a cyclonic circulation regime (CCR) \citep[their |
235 |
Figure\,6]{martin07} with a Beaufort Gyre and a transpolar drift |
Figure\,6]{martin07} with a Beaufort Gyre and a transpolar drift |
236 |
shifted eastwards towards Alaska. |
shifted eastwards towards Alaska. |
237 |
|
|
238 |
The difference beween runs C-LSR-ns and B-LSR-ns (\reffig{iceveloc}b) |
The difference beween runs C-LSR-ns and B-LSR-ns (\reffig{iceveloc}b) |
239 |
is most pronounced along the coastlines, where the discretization |
is most pronounced along the coastlines, where the discretization |
240 |
differs most between B and C-grids: On a B-grid the tangential |
differs most between B and C-grids: On a B-grid the tangential |
241 |
velocity lies on the boundary (and thus zero per the no-slip boundary |
velocity lies on the boundary (and is thus zero through the no-slip |
242 |
conditions), whereas on the C-grid the its half a cell width away from |
boundary conditions), whereas on the C-grid it is half a cell width |
243 |
the boundary, thus allowing more flow. The B-LSR-ns solution has less |
away from the boundary, thus allowing more flow. The B-LSR-ns solution |
244 |
ice drift through the Fram Strait and especially the along Greenland's |
has less ice drift through the Fram Strait and especially the along |
245 |
east coast; also, the flow through Baffin Bay and Davis Strait into |
Greenland's east coast; also, the flow through Baffin Bay and Davis |
246 |
the Labrador Sea is reduced with respect the C-LSR-ns solution. |
Strait into the Labrador Sea is reduced with respect the C-LSR-ns |
247 |
\ml{[Do we expect this? Say something about that]} |
solution. \ml{[Do we expect this? Say something about that]} |
248 |
% |
% |
249 |
Compared to the differences between B and C-grid solutions,the |
Compared to the differences between B and C-grid solutions,the |
250 |
C-LSR-fs ice drift field differs much less from the C-LSR-ns solution |
C-LSR-fs ice drift field differs much less from the C-LSR-ns solution |
253 |
faster in the C-LSR-fs solution, for example, along the east coast |
faster in the C-LSR-fs solution, for example, along the east coast |
254 |
of Greenland, the north coast of Alaska, and the east Coast of Baffin |
of Greenland, the north coast of Alaska, and the east Coast of Baffin |
255 |
Island. |
Island. |
256 |
|
%\newcommand{\subplotwidth}{0.44\textwidth} |
257 |
|
\newcommand{\subplotwidth}{0.3\textwidth} |
258 |
\begin{figure}[htbp] |
\begin{figure}[htbp] |
259 |
\centering |
\centering |
260 |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-ns}] |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-ns}] |
261 |
{\includegraphics[width=0.44\textwidth]{\fpath/JFMuv_lsr_noslip}} |
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMuv_C-LSR-ns}} |
262 |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize B-LSR-ns $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize B-LSR-ns $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
263 |
{\includegraphics[width=0.44\textwidth]{\fpath/JFMuv_bgrid-lsr_noslip}}\\ |
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMuv_B-LSR-ns-C-LSR-ns}} |
264 |
|
\\ |
265 |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-fs $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-fs $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
266 |
{\includegraphics[width=0.44\textwidth]{\fpath/JFMuv_lsr_slip-lsr_noslip}} |
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMuv_C-LSR-fs-C-LSR-ns}} |
267 |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-EVP-ns $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-EVP-ns $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
268 |
{\includegraphics[width=0.44\textwidth]{\fpath/JFMuv_evp_noslip-lsr_noslip}} |
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMuv_C-EVP-ns150-C-LSR-ns}} |
269 |
|
\\ |
270 |
|
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-ns TEM $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
271 |
|
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMuv_TEM-C-LSR-ns}} |
272 |
|
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-ns HB87 $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
273 |
|
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMuv_HB87-C-LSR-ns}} |
274 |
|
\\ |
275 |
|
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-ns WTD $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
276 |
|
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMuv_ThSIce-C-LSR-ns}} |
277 |
|
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-ns DST3FL $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
278 |
|
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMuv_adv33-C-LSR-ns}} |
279 |
\caption{(a) Ice drift velocity of the C-LSR-ns solution averaged |
\caption{(a) Ice drift velocity of the C-LSR-ns solution averaged |
280 |
over the first 3 months of integration [cm/s]; (b)-(d) difference |
over the first 3 months of integration [cm/s]; (b)-(h) difference |
281 |
between B-LSR-ns, C-LSR-fs, C-EVP-ns, and C-LSR-ns solutions |
between solutions with B-grid, free lateral slip, EVP-solver, |
282 |
[cm/s]; color indicates speed (or differences of speed), vectors |
truncated ellipse method (TEM), different ice-ocean stress |
283 |
indicate direction only.} |
formulation (HB87), different thermodynamics (WTD), different |
284 |
|
advection for thermodynamic variables (DST3FL) and the C-LSR-ns |
285 |
|
reference solution [cm/s]; color indicates speed (or differences |
286 |
|
of speed), vectors indicate direction only.} |
287 |
\label{fig:iceveloc} |
\label{fig:iceveloc} |
288 |
\end{figure} |
\end{figure} |
289 |
|
|
290 |
The C-EVP-ns solution is very different from the C-LSR-ns solution |
The C-EVP-ns solution with $\Delta{t}_\mathrm{evp}=150\text{\,s}$ is |
291 |
(\reffig{iceveloc}d). The EVP-approximation of the VP-dynamics allows |
very different from the C-LSR-ns solution (\reffig{iceveloc}d). The |
292 |
for increased drift by over 2\,cm/s in the Beaufort Gyre and the |
EVP-approximation of the VP-dynamics allows for increased drift by |
293 |
transarctic drift. \ml{Also the Beaufort Gyre is moved towards Alaska |
over 2\,cm/s in the Beaufort Gyre and the transarctic drift. |
294 |
in the C-EVP-ns solution. [Really?]} In general, drift velocities are |
%\ml{Also the Beaufort Gyre is moved towards Alaska in the C-EVP-ns |
295 |
biased towards higher values in the EVP solutions as can be seen from |
%solution. [Really?, No]} |
296 |
a histogram of the differences in \reffig{drifthist}. |
In general, drift velocities are biased towards higher values in the |
297 |
\begin{figure}[htbp] |
EVP solutions. |
298 |
\centering |
% as can be seen from a histogram of the differences in |
299 |
\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{\fpath/drifthist_evp_noslip-lsr_noslip} |
%\reffig{drifthist}. |
300 |
\caption{Histogram of drift velocity differences for C-LSR-ns and |
%\begin{figure}[htbp] |
301 |
C-EVP-ns solution [cm/s].} |
% \centering |
302 |
\label{fig:drifthist} |
% \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{\fpath/drifthist_C-EVP-ns-C-LSR-ns} |
303 |
\end{figure} |
% \caption{Histogram of drift velocity differences for C-LSR-ns and |
304 |
|
% C-EVP-ns solution [cm/s].} |
305 |
|
% \label{fig:drifthist} |
306 |
|
%\end{figure} |
307 |
|
|
308 |
\reffig{icethick}a shows the effective thickness (volume per unit |
\reffig{icethick}a shows the effective thickness (volume per unit |
309 |
area) of the C-LSR-ns solution, averaged over January, February, March |
area) of the C-LSR-ns solution, averaged over January, February, March |
310 |
of year 2000. By this time of the integration, the differences in the |
of year 2000. By this time of the integration, the differences in the |
311 |
ice drift velocities have led to the evolution of very different ice |
ice drift velocities have led to the evolution of very different ice |
312 |
thickness distributions, which are shown in \reffig{icethick}b--d, and |
thickness distributions, which are shown in \reffig{icethick}b--d, and |
313 |
area distributions (not shown). \ml{Compared to other solutions, for |
concentrations (not shown). |
|
example, AOMIP the ice thickness distribution blablabal} |
|
314 |
\begin{figure}[htbp] |
\begin{figure}[htbp] |
315 |
\centering |
\centering |
316 |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-ns}] |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-ns}] |
317 |
{\includegraphics[width=0.44\textwidth]{\fpath/JFMheff2000_lsr_noslip}} |
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMheff2000_C-LSR-ns}} |
318 |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize B-LSR-ns $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize B-LSR-ns $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
319 |
{\includegraphics[width=0.44\textwidth]{\fpath/JFMheff2000_bgrid-lsr_noslip}}\\ |
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMheff2000_B-LSR-ns-C-LSR-ns}} |
320 |
|
\\ |
321 |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-fs $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-fs $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
322 |
{\includegraphics[width=0.44\textwidth]{\fpath/JFMheff2000_lsr_slip-lsr_noslip}} |
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMheff2000_C-LSR-fs-C-LSR-ns}} |
323 |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-EVP-ns $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-EVP-ns $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
324 |
{\includegraphics[width=0.44\textwidth]{\fpath/JFMheff2000_evp_noslip-lsr_noslip}} |
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMheff2000_C-EVP-ns150-C-LSR-ns}} |
325 |
|
\\ |
326 |
|
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-ns TEM $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
327 |
|
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMheff2000_TEM-C-LSR-ns}} |
328 |
|
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-EVP-ns HB87 $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
329 |
|
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMheff2000_HB87-C-LSR-ns}} |
330 |
|
\\ |
331 |
|
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-LSR-ns WTD $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
332 |
|
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMheff2000_ThSIce-C-LSR-ns}} |
333 |
|
\subfigure[{\footnotesize C-EVP-ns DST3FL $-$ C-LSR-ns}] |
334 |
|
{\includegraphics[width=\subplotwidth]{\fpath/JFMheff2000_adv33-C-LSR-ns}} |
335 |
\caption{(a) Effective thickness (volume per unit area) of the |
\caption{(a) Effective thickness (volume per unit area) of the |
336 |
C-LSR-ns solution, averaged over the months Janurary through March |
C-LSR-ns solution, averaged over the months Janurary through March |
337 |
2000 [m]; (b)-(d) difference between B-LSR-ns, C-LSR-fs, C-EVP-ns, |
2000 [m]; (b)-(d) difference between solutions with B-grid, free |
338 |
and C-LSR-ns solutions [cm/s].} |
lateral slip, EVP-solver, truncated ellipse method (TEM), |
339 |
|
different ice-ocean stress formulation (HB87), different |
340 |
|
thermodynamics (WTD), different advection for thermodynamic |
341 |
|
variables (DST3FL) and the C-LSR-ns reference solution [m].} |
342 |
\label{fig:icethick} |
\label{fig:icethick} |
343 |
\end{figure} |
\end{figure} |
344 |
% |
% |
351 |
patches of smaller ice volume in the B-grid solution, most likely |
patches of smaller ice volume in the B-grid solution, most likely |
352 |
because the Beaufort Gyre is weaker and hence not as effective in |
because the Beaufort Gyre is weaker and hence not as effective in |
353 |
transporting ice westwards. There are also dipoles of ice volume |
transporting ice westwards. There are also dipoles of ice volume |
354 |
differences with more ice on the \ml{luv [what is this in English?, |
differences with more ice on the upstream side of island groups and |
355 |
upstream]} and less ice in the the lee of island groups, such as |
less ice in their lee, such as Franz-Josef-Land and |
356 |
Franz-Josef-Land and \ml{IDONTKNOW}, because ice tends to flow along |
Severnaya Semlya\ml{/or Nordland?}, |
357 |
coasts less easily in the B-LSR-ns solution. |
because ice tends to flow along coasts less easily in the B-LSR-ns |
358 |
|
solution. |
359 |
|
|
360 |
Imposing a free-slip boundary condition in C-LSR-fs leads to a much |
Imposing a free-slip boundary condition in C-LSR-fs leads to a much |
361 |
smaller differences to C-LSR-ns than the transition from the B-grid to |
smaller differences to C-LSR-ns in the central Arctic than the |
362 |
the C-grid (\reffig{icethick}c), but in the Canadian Archipelago it |
transition from the B-grid to the C-grid (\reffig{icethick}c), except |
363 |
still reduces the effective ice thickness by up to 2\,m where the ice |
in the Canadian Archipelago. There it reduces the effective ice |
364 |
is thick and the straits are narrow. Dipoles of ice thickness |
thickness by 2\,m and more where the ice is thick and the straits are |
365 |
differences can also be observed around islands, because the free-slip |
narrow. Dipoles of ice thickness differences can also be observed |
366 |
solution allows more flow around islands than the no-slip solution. |
around islands, because the free-slip solution allows more flow around |
367 |
Everywhere else the ice volume is affected only slightly by the |
islands than the no-slip solution. Everywhere else the ice volume is |
368 |
different boundary condition. |
affected only slightly by the different boundary condition. |
369 |
% |
% |
370 |
The C-EVP-ns solution has generally stronger drift velocities than the |
The C-EVP-ns solution has generally stronger drift velocities than the |
371 |
C-LSR-ns solution. Consequently, more ice can be moved from the eastern |
C-LSR-ns solution. Consequently, more ice can be moved from the |
372 |
part of the Arctic, where ice volumes are smaller, to the western |
eastern part of the Arctic, where ice volumes are smaller, to the |
373 |
Arctic where ice piles up along the coast (\reffig{icethick}d). Within |
western Arctic (\reffig{icethick}d). Within the Canadian Archipelago, |
374 |
the Canadian Archipelago, more drift leads to faster ice export and |
more drift leads to faster ice export and reduced effective ice |
375 |
reduced effective ice thickness. |
thickness. With a shorter time step of |
376 |
|
$\Delta{t}_\mathrm{evp}=10\text{\,s}$ the EVP solution seems to |
377 |
|
converge to the LSOR solution (not shown). Only in the narrow straits |
378 |
|
in the Archipelago the ice thickness is not affected by the shorter |
379 |
|
time step and the ice is still thinner by 2\,m and more, as in the EVP |
380 |
|
solution with $\Delta{t}_\mathrm{evp}=150\text{\,s}$. |
381 |
|
|
382 |
|
The observed difference of order 2\,m and less are smaller than the |
383 |
|
differences that were observed between different hindcast and climate |
384 |
|
models in \citet{gerdes07}. There the range of sea ice volume of |
385 |
|
different sea ice-ocean models (which shared very similar forcing |
386 |
|
fields) was on the order of $10,000\text{km$^{3}$}$; this range was |
387 |
|
even larger for coupled climate models. Here, the range (and the |
388 |
|
averaging period) is smaller than $4,000\text{km$^{3}$}$ except for |
389 |
|
the run \mbox{C-LSR-ns~WTD} where the more complicated thermodynamics |
390 |
|
leads to generally thicker ice (\reffig{icethick} and |
391 |
|
\reftab{icevolume}). |
392 |
|
\begin{table}[htbp] |
393 |
|
\begin{tabular}{lr@{\hspace{5ex}}r@{$\pm$}rr@{$\pm$}rr@{$\pm$}r} |
394 |
|
model run & ice volume |
395 |
|
& \multicolumn{6}{c}{ice transport [$\text{flux$\pm$ std., |
396 |
|
km$^{3}$\,y$^{-1}$}$]}\\ |
397 |
|
& [$\text{km$^{3}$}$] |
398 |
|
& \multicolumn{2}{c}{FS} |
399 |
|
& \multicolumn{2}{c}{NI} |
400 |
|
& \multicolumn{2}{c}{LS} \\ \hline |
401 |
|
B-LSR-ns & 23,824 & 2126 & 1278 & 34 & 122 & 43 & 76 \\ |
402 |
|
C-LSR-ns & 24,769 & 2196 & 1253 & 70 & 224 & 77 & 110 \\ |
403 |
|
C-LSR-fs & 23,286 & 2236 & 1289 & 80 & 276 & 91 & 85 \\ |
404 |
|
C-EVP-ns & 27,056 & 3050 & 1652 & 352 & 735 & 256 & 151 \\ |
405 |
|
C-EVP-ns10 & 22,633 & 2174 & 1260 & 186 & 496 & 133 & 128 \\ |
406 |
|
C-LSR-ns HB87 & 23,060 & 2256 & 1327 & 64 & 230 & 77 & 114 \\ |
407 |
|
C-LSR-ns TEM & 23,529 & 2222 & 1258 & 60 & 242 & 87 & 112 \\ |
408 |
|
C-LSR-ns WTD & 31,634 & 2761 & 1563 & 23 & 140 & 94 & 63 \\ |
409 |
|
C-LSR-ns DST3FL& 24,023 & 2191 & 1261 & 88 & 251 & 84 & 129 |
410 |
|
\end{tabular} |
411 |
|
\caption{Arctic ice volume averaged over Jan--Mar 2000, in |
412 |
|
$\text{km$^{3}$}$. Mean ice transport and standard deviation for the |
413 |
|
period Jan 1992 -- Dec 1999 through the Fram Strait (FS), the |
414 |
|
total northern inflow into the Canadian Archipelago (NI), and the |
415 |
|
export through Lancaster Sound (LS), in $\text{km$^{3}$\,y$^{-1}$}$.} |
416 |
|
\label{tab:icevolume} |
417 |
|
\end{table} |
418 |
|
|
419 |
The difference in ice volume and ice drift velocities between the |
The difference in ice volume and ice drift velocities between the |
420 |
different experiments has consequences for the ice transport out of |
different experiments has consequences for the ice transport out of |
421 |
the Arctic. Although the main export of ice goes through the Fram |
the Arctic. Although by far the most exported ice drifts through the |
422 |
Strait, a considerable amoung of ice is exported through the Canadian |
Fram Strait (approximately $2300\pm610\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$), a |
423 |
Archipelago \citep{???}. \reffig{archipelago} shows a time series of |
considerable amount (order $160\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$) ice is |
424 |
\ml{[maybe smooth to longer time scales:] daily averaged} ice |
exported through the Canadian Archipelago \citep[and references |
425 |
transport through various straits in the Canadian Archipelago and the |
therein]{serreze06}. Note, that ice transport estimates are associated |
426 |
Fram Strait for the different model solutions. Generally, the |
with large uncertainties; also note that tuning an Arctic sea |
427 |
C-EVP-ns solution has highest maximum (export out of the Artic) and |
ice-ocean model to reproduce observations is not our goal, but we use |
428 |
minimum (import into the Artic) fluxes as the drift velocities are |
the published numbers as an orientation. |
429 |
largest in this solution \ldots |
|
430 |
|
\reffig{archipelago} shows a time series of daily averaged, smoothed |
431 |
|
with monthly running means, ice transports through various straits in |
432 |
|
the Canadian Archipelago and the Fram Strait for the different model |
433 |
|
solutions and \reftab{icevolume} summarizes the time series. The |
434 |
|
export through Fram Strait agrees with the observations in all model |
435 |
|
solutions (annual averages range from $2110$ to |
436 |
|
$2300\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$, except for \mbox{C-LSR-ns~WTD} with |
437 |
|
$2760\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$ and the EVP solution with the long |
438 |
|
time step of 150\,s with nearly $3000\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$), |
439 |
|
while the export through the Candian Archipelago is smaller than |
440 |
|
generally thought. For example, the ice transport through Lancaster |
441 |
|
Sound is lower (annual averages are $43$ to |
442 |
|
$256\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$) than in \citet{dey81} who estimates an |
443 |
|
inflow into Baffin Bay of $370$ to $537\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$, but |
444 |
|
a flow of only $102$ to $137\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$ further |
445 |
|
upstream in Barrow Strait in the 1970ies from satellite images. |
446 |
|
Generally, the EVP solutions have the highest maximum (export out of |
447 |
|
the Artic) and lowest minimum (import into the Artic) fluxes as the |
448 |
|
drift velocities are largest in these solutions. In the extreme of |
449 |
|
the Nares Strait, which is only a few grid points wide in our |
450 |
|
configuration, both B- and C-grid LSOR solvers lead to practically no |
451 |
|
ice transport, while the C-EVP solutions allow up to |
452 |
|
$600\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$ in summer; \citet{tang04} report $300$ |
453 |
|
to $350\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$. As as consequence, the import into |
454 |
|
the Candian Archipelago is larger in all EVP solutions |
455 |
|
%(range: $539$ to $773\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$) |
456 |
|
than in the LSOR solutions. |
457 |
|
%get the order of magnitude right (range: $132$ to |
458 |
|
%$165\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$); |
459 |
|
The B-LSR-ns solution is even smaller by another factor of two than the |
460 |
|
C-LSR solutions (an exception is the WTD solution, where larger ice thickness |
461 |
|
tends to block the transport). |
462 |
|
%underestimates the ice transport with $34\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$. |
463 |
\begin{figure} |
\begin{figure} |
464 |
\centerline{{\includegraphics*[width=0.6\linewidth]{\fpath/Jan1992xport}}} |
%\centerline{{\includegraphics*[width=0.6\linewidth]{\fpath/Jan1992xport}}} |
465 |
|
%\centerline{{\includegraphics*[width=0.6\linewidth]{\fpath/ice_export}}} |
466 |
|
\centerline{{\includegraphics*[width=\linewidth]{\fpath/ice_export}}} |
467 |
\caption{Transport through Canadian Archipelago for different solver |
\caption{Transport through Canadian Archipelago for different solver |
468 |
flavors. The letters refer to the labels of the sections in |
flavors. The letters refer to the labels of the sections in |
469 |
\reffig{arctic_topog}. |
\reffig{arctic_topog}; positive values are flux out of the Arctic; |
470 |
|
legend abbreviations are explained in \reftab{experiments}. |
471 |
\label{fig:archipelago}} |
\label{fig:archipelago}} |
472 |
\end{figure} |
\end{figure} |
473 |
|
|
474 |
\ml{[Transport to narrow straits, area?, more runs, TEM, advection |
%\ml{[Transport to narrow straits, area?, more runs, TEM, advection |
475 |
schemes, Winton TD, discussion about differences in terms of model |
% schemes, Winton TD, discussion about differences in terms of model |
476 |
error? that's tricky as it means refering to Tremblay, thus our ice |
% error? that's tricky as it means refering to Tremblay, thus our ice |
477 |
models are all erroneous!]} |
% models are all erroneous!]} |
478 |
|
|
479 |
In summary, we find that different dynamical solvers can yield very |
In summary, we find that different dynamical solvers can yield very |
480 |
different solutions. In contrast, the differences between free-slip |
different solutions. In constrast to that, the differences between |
481 |
and no-slip solutions \emph{with the same solver} are considerably |
free-slip and no-slip solutions \emph{with the same solver} are |
482 |
smaller (the difference for the EVP solver is not shown, but similar |
considerably smaller (the difference for the EVP solver is not shown, |
483 |
to that for the LSOR solver). Albeit smaller, the differences between |
but similar to that for the LSOR solver). Albeit smaller, the |
484 |
free and no-slip solutions in ice drift can lead to large differences |
differences between free and no-slip solutions in ice drift can lead |
485 |
in ice volume over the integration time. At first, this observation |
to equally large differences in ice volume, especially in the Canadian |
486 |
|
Archipelago over the integration time. At first, this observation |
487 |
seems counterintuitive, as we expect that the solution |
seems counterintuitive, as we expect that the solution |
488 |
\emph{technique} should not affect the \emph{solution} to a higher |
\emph{technique} should not affect the \emph{solution} to a higher |
489 |
degree than actually modifying the equations. A more detailed study on |
degree than actually modifying the equations. A more detailed study on |
496 |
equations is not complete for all linearized solvers, then one can |
equations is not complete for all linearized solvers, then one can |
497 |
imagine that each solver stops at a different point in velocity-space |
imagine that each solver stops at a different point in velocity-space |
498 |
thus leading to different solutions for the ice drift velocities. If |
thus leading to different solutions for the ice drift velocities. If |
499 |
this were true, this tantalizing circumstance had a dramatic impact on |
this were true, this tantalizing circumstance would have a dramatic |
500 |
sea-ice modeling in general, and we would need to improve the solution |
impact on sea-ice modeling in general, and we would need to improve |
501 |
technique of dynamic sea ice model, most likely at a very high |
the solution techniques for dynamic sea ice models, most likely at a very |
502 |
compuational cost (Bruno Tremblay, personal communication). |
high compuational cost (Bruno Tremblay, personal communication). Further, |
503 |
|
we observe that the EVP solutions tends to produce effectively |
504 |
|
``weaker'' ice that yields more easily to stress. The fast response to |
505 |
|
changing wind was also observed by \citet{hunke99}, their Fig.\,10--12, |
506 |
\begin{itemize} |
where the EVP model adjusts quickly to a cyclonic wind pattern, while |
507 |
\item Configuration |
the LSOR solution does not. This property of the EVP solutions allows |
508 |
\item OBCS from cube |
larger ice transports through narrow straits, where the implicit |
509 |
\item forcing |
solver LSOR forms rigid ice. The underlying reasons for this striking |
510 |
\item 1/2 and full resolution |
difference need further exploration. |
511 |
\item with a few JFM figs from C-grid LSR no slip |
|
512 |
ice transport through Canadian Archipelago |
% THIS is now almost all in the text: |
513 |
thickness distribution |
%\begin{itemize} |
514 |
ice velocity and transport |
%\item Configuration |
515 |
\end{itemize} |
%\item OBCS from cube |
516 |
|
%\item forcing |
517 |
\begin{itemize} |
%\item 1/2 and full resolution |
518 |
\item Arctic configuration |
%\item with a few JFM figs from C-grid LSR no slip |
519 |
\item ice transport through straits and near boundaries |
% ice transport through Canadian Archipelago |
520 |
\item focus on narrow straits in the Canadian Archipelago |
% thickness distribution |
521 |
\end{itemize} |
% ice velocity and transport |
522 |
|
%\end{itemize} |
523 |
\begin{itemize} |
|
524 |
\item B-grid LSR no-slip: B-LSR-ns |
%\begin{itemize} |
525 |
\item C-grid LSR no-slip: C-LSR-ns |
%\item Arctic configuration |
526 |
\item C-grid LSR slip: C-LSR-fs |
%\item ice transport through straits and near boundaries |
527 |
\item C-grid EVP no-slip: C-EVP-ns |
%\item focus on narrow straits in the Canadian Archipelago |
528 |
\item C-grid EVP slip: C-EVP-fs |
%\end{itemize} |
529 |
\item C-grid LSR + TEM (truncated ellipse method, no tensile stress, |
|
530 |
new flag): C-LSR-ns+TEM |
%\begin{itemize} |
531 |
\item C-grid LSR with different advection scheme: 33 vs 77, vs. default? |
%\item B-grid LSR no-slip: B-LSR-ns |
532 |
\item C-grid LSR no-slip + Winton: |
%\item C-grid LSR no-slip: C-LSR-ns |
533 |
\item speed-performance-accuracy (small) |
%\item C-grid LSR slip: C-LSR-fs |
534 |
ice transport through Canadian Archipelago differences |
%\item C-grid EVP no-slip: C-EVP-ns |
535 |
thickness distribution differences |
%\item C-grid EVP slip: C-EVP-fs |
536 |
ice velocity and transport differences |
%\item C-grid LSR + TEM (truncated ellipse method, no tensile stress, |
537 |
\end{itemize} |
% new flag): C-LSR-ns+TEM |
538 |
|
%\item C-grid LSR with different advection scheme: 33 vs 77, vs. default? |
539 |
We anticipate small differences between the different models due to: |
%\item C-grid LSR no-slip + Winton: |
540 |
\begin{itemize} |
%\item speed-performance-accuracy (small) |
541 |
\item advection schemes: along the ice-edge and regions with large |
% ice transport through Canadian Archipelago differences |
542 |
gradients |
% thickness distribution differences |
543 |
\item C-grid: less transport through narrow straits for no slip |
% ice velocity and transport differences |
544 |
conditons, more for free slip |
%\end{itemize} |
545 |
\item VP vs.\ EVP: speed performance, accuracy? |
|
546 |
\item ocean stress: different water mass properties beneath the ice |
%We anticipate small differences between the different models due to: |
547 |
\end{itemize} |
%\begin{itemize} |
548 |
|
%\item advection schemes: along the ice-edge and regions with large |
549 |
%\begin{figure} |
% gradients |
550 |
%\centerline{{\includegraphics*[width=0.6\linewidth]{\fpath/JFM1992uvice}}} |
%\item C-grid: less transport through narrow straits for no slip |
551 |
%\caption{Surface sea ice velocity for different solver flavors. |
% conditons, more for free slip |
552 |
%\label{fig:iceveloc}} |
%\item VP vs.\ EVP: speed performance, accuracy? |
553 |
%\end{figure} |
%\item ocean stress: different water mass properties beneath the ice |
554 |
|
%\end{itemize} |
|
%\begin{figure} |
|
|
%\centerline{{\includegraphics*[width=0.6\linewidth]{\fpath/JFM2000heff}}} |
|
|
%\caption{Sea ice thickness for different solver flavors. |
|
|
%\label{fig:icethick}} |
|
|
%\end{figure} |
|
555 |
|
|
556 |
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557 |
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