41 |
Archipelago. \ml{[May still need to check the geography.]} |
Archipelago. \ml{[May still need to check the geography.]} |
42 |
\label{fig:arctic_topog}} |
\label{fig:arctic_topog}} |
43 |
\end{figure*} |
\end{figure*} |
44 |
It has 420 by 384 grid boxes and is carved out, and obtains open |
It has 420 by 384 grid boxes and is carved out, and obtains open boundary |
45 |
boundary conditions from, a global cubed-sphere configuration |
conditions from, a global cubed-sphere \citep{adcroft04:_cubed_sphere} |
46 |
similar to that described in \citet{menemenlis05}. |
configuration similar to that described in \citet{menemenlis05}. The |
47 |
|
particular simulation from which we obtain boundary conditions is a baseline |
48 |
\ml{[Some of this could be part of the introduction?]}% |
integration, labeled {\em ``cube76''}. Each face of the cube comprises 510 by |
49 |
The global ocean and sea ice results presented in \citet{menemenlis05} |
510 grid cells for a mean horizontal grid spacing of 18\,km. There are 50 |
50 |
were carried out as part |
vertical levels ranging in thickness from 10 m near the surface to |
|
of the Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean, Phase II (ECCO2) |
|
|
project. ECCO2 aims to produce increasingly accurate syntheses of all |
|
|
available global-scale ocean and sea-ice data at resolutions that start to |
|
|
resolve ocean eddies and other narrow current systems, which transport heat, |
|
|
carbon, and other properties within the ocean \citep{menemenlis05}. The |
|
|
particular ECCO2 simulation from which we obtain the boundary |
|
|
conditions is a baseline 28-year (1979-2006) |
|
|
integration, labeled cube76, which has not yet been constrained by oceanic and |
|
|
by sea ice data. A cube-sphere grid projection is employed, which permits |
|
|
relatively even grid spacing throughout the domain and which avoids polar |
|
|
singularities \citep{adcroft04:_cubed_sphere}. Each face of the cube comprises |
|
|
510 by 510 grid cells for a mean horizontal grid spacing of 18\,km. There are |
|
|
50 vertical levels ranging in thickness from 10 m near the surface to |
|
51 |
approximately 450 m at a maximum model depth of 6150 m. The model employs the |
approximately 450 m at a maximum model depth of 6150 m. The model employs the |
52 |
partial-cell formulation of |
partial-cell formulation of \citet{adcroft97:_shaved_cells}, which permits |
53 |
\citet{adcroft97:_shaved_cells}, which permits accurate representation of the |
accurate representation of the bathymetry. Bathymetry is from the S2004 |
54 |
bathymetry. Bathymetry is from the S2004 (W.~Smith, unpublished) blend of the |
(W.~Smith, unpublished) blend of the \citet{smi97} and the General Bathymetric |
55 |
\citet{smi97} and the General Bathymetric Charts of the Oceans (GEBCO) one |
Charts of the Oceans (GEBCO) one arc-minute bathymetric grid. The model is |
56 |
arc-minute bathymetric grid. % (see Fig.~\ref{fig:CubeBathymetry}). |
integrated in a volume-conserving configuration using a finite volume |
57 |
The model is integrated in a volume-conserving configuration using |
discretization with C-grid staggering of the prognostic variables. In the |
58 |
a finite volume discretization with C-grid staggering of the prognostic |
ocean, the non-linear equation of state of \citet{jac95} is used. The global |
59 |
variables. In the ocean, the non-linear equation of state of \citet{jac95} is |
ocean model is coupled to a sea ice model in a configuration similar to the |
60 |
used. |
case C-LSR-ns (see \reftab{experiments}). |
|
% |
|
|
The global ocean model is coupled to a sea ice model in a |
|
|
configuration similar to the case C-LSR-ns (see \reftab{experiments}), |
|
|
with open water, dry ice, wet ice, dry snow, and wet snow albedos of, |
|
|
respectively, 0.15, 0.88, 0.79, 0.97, and 0.83. |
|
61 |
|
|
62 |
This particular ECCO2 simulation is initialized from temperature and salinity |
The {\em cube76} simulation is initialized from temperature and salinity |
63 |
fields derived from the Polar science center Hydrographic Climatology (PHC) |
fields derived from the Polar science center Hydrographic Climatology (PHC) |
64 |
3.0 \citep{ste01a}. Surface boundary conditions for the period January 1979 to |
3.0 \citep{ste01a}. Surface boundary conditions for the period January 1979 to |
65 |
July 2002 are derived from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather |
July 2002 are derived from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather |
66 |
Forecasts (ECMWF) 40 year re-analysis (ERA-40) \citep{upp05}. Surface |
Forecasts (ECMWF) 40 year re-analysis (ERA-40) \citep{upp05}. Six-hourly |
|
boundary conditions after September 2002 are derived from the ECMWF |
|
|
operational analysis. There is a one month transition period, August 2002, |
|
|
during which the ERA-40 contribution decreases linearly from 1 to 0 and the |
|
|
ECMWF analysis contribution increases linearly from 0 to 1. Six-hourly |
|
67 |
surface winds, temperature, humidity, downward short- and long-wave |
surface winds, temperature, humidity, downward short- and long-wave |
68 |
radiations, and precipitation are converted to heat, freshwater, and wind |
radiations, and precipitation are converted to heat, freshwater, and wind |
69 |
stress fluxes using the \citet{large81,large82} bulk formulae. Shortwave |
stress fluxes using the \citet{large81,large82} bulk formulae. Shortwave |
74 |
where monthly mean river runoff based on the Arctic Runoff Data Base (ARDB) |
where monthly mean river runoff based on the Arctic Runoff Data Base (ARDB) |
75 |
and prepared by P. Winsor (personnal communication, 2007) is specificied. |
and prepared by P. Winsor (personnal communication, 2007) is specificied. |
76 |
Additionally, there is a relaxation to the monthly-mean climatological sea |
Additionally, there is a relaxation to the monthly-mean climatological sea |
77 |
surface salinity values from PHC 3.0, a relaxation time scale of 101 days. |
surface salinity values from PHC 3.0, with a relaxation time scale of 101 days. |
78 |
|
|
79 |
Vertical mixing follows \citet{lar94} but with meridionally and vertically |
Vertical mixing follows \citet{lar94} but with meridionally and vertically |
80 |
varying background vertical diffusivity; at the surface, vertical diffusivity |
varying background vertical diffusivity; at the surface, vertical diffusivity |
88 |
diffusivity. Horizontal viscosity follows \citet{lei96} but modified to sense |
diffusivity. Horizontal viscosity follows \citet{lei96} but modified to sense |
89 |
the divergent flow as per \citet{kem08}. |
the divergent flow as per \citet{kem08}. |
90 |
|
|
91 |
The model configuration of cube76 carries over to the Arctic domain |
The model configuration of {\em cube76} carries over to the Arctic domain |
92 |
configuration except for numerical details related to the non-linear |
configuration except for numerical details related to the non-linear |
93 |
free surface that are not supported by the open boundary code, and the |
free surface that are not supported by the open boundary code, and the |
94 |
albedos of open water, dry ice, wet ice, dry snow, and wet snow, which |
albedos of open water, dry ice, wet ice, dry snow, and wet snow, which |
95 |
are now, respectively, 0.15, 0.85, 0.76, 0.94, and 0.8. |
are now, respectively, 0.15, 0.85, 0.76, 0.94, and 0.8. The Arctic Ocean |
96 |
|
model is integrated from Jan~01, 1992 to Mar~31, 2000. |
|
The model is integrated from Jan~01, 1992 to Mar~31, 2000. |
|
97 |
\reftab{experiments} gives an overview over the experiments discussed |
\reftab{experiments} gives an overview over the experiments discussed |
98 |
in \refsec{arcticresults}. |
in \refsec{arcticresults}. |
99 |
\begin{table} |
\begin{table} |
183 |
|
|
184 |
\subsubsection{Ice velocities in JFM 1992} |
\subsubsection{Ice velocities in JFM 1992} |
185 |
|
|
186 |
\reffig{iceveloc} shows ice velocities averaged over Janunary, |
\reffig{iceveloc} shows ice velocities averaged over January, |
187 |
February, and March (JFM) of 1992 for the C-LSR-ns solution; also |
February, and March (JFM) of 1992 for the C-LSR-ns solution; also |
188 |
shown are the differences between this reference solution and various |
shown are the differences between this reference solution and various |
189 |
sensitivity experiments. The velocity field of the C-LSR-ns |
sensitivity experiments. The velocity field of the C-LSR-ns |
249 |
away from the boundary, thus allowing more flow. The B-LSR-ns solution |
away from the boundary, thus allowing more flow. The B-LSR-ns solution |
250 |
has less ice drift through the Fram Strait and along |
has less ice drift through the Fram Strait and along |
251 |
Greenland's east coast; also, the flow through Baffin Bay and Davis |
Greenland's east coast; also, the flow through Baffin Bay and Davis |
252 |
Strait into the Labrador Sea is reduced with respect the C-LSR-ns |
Strait into the Labrador Sea is reduced with respect to the C-LSR-ns |
253 |
solution. \ml{[Do we expect this? Say something about that]} |
solution. \ml{[Do we expect this? Say something about that]} |
254 |
% |
% |
255 |
Compared to the differences between B and C-grid solutions, the |
Compared to the differences between B and C-grid solutions, the |
285 |
difficult to interpret. The drift in the Beaufort Gyre is slightly |
difficult to interpret. The drift in the Beaufort Gyre is slightly |
286 |
reduced relative to the reference run C-LSR-ns, but the drift through |
reduced relative to the reference run C-LSR-ns, but the drift through |
287 |
the Fram Strait is increased. The drift velocities near the ice edge |
the Fram Strait is increased. The drift velocities near the ice edge |
288 |
are very different, because the ice extend is already larger in |
are very different, because the ice extent is already larger in |
289 |
\mbox{C-LSR-ns~WTD}; inward from the ice egde, this run has smaller |
\mbox{C-LSR-ns~WTD}; inward from the ice egde, this run has smaller |
290 |
drift velocities, because the ice motion is more contrained by a |
drift velocities, because the ice motion is more contrained by a |
291 |
larger ice extent than in \mbox{C-LSR-ns}, where the ice at the same |
larger ice extent than in \mbox{C-LSR-ns}, where the ice at the same |
296 |
the gradients of thickness and concentration are largest. Everywhere |
the gradients of thickness and concentration are largest. Everywhere |
297 |
else the effect is very small and can mostly be attributed to smaller |
else the effect is very small and can mostly be attributed to smaller |
298 |
numerical diffusion (and to the absense of explicit diffusion that is |
numerical diffusion (and to the absense of explicit diffusion that is |
299 |
requird for numerical stability in a simple second order central |
required for numerical stability in a simple second order central |
300 |
differences scheme). |
differences scheme). |
301 |
|
|
302 |
\subsubsection{Ice volume during JFM 2000} |
\subsubsection{Ice volume during JFM 2000} |
381 |
This difference, which is even more pronounced in summer (not shown), |
This difference, which is even more pronounced in summer (not shown), |
382 |
can be attributed to direct effects of the different thermodynamics in |
can be attributed to direct effects of the different thermodynamics in |
383 |
this run. The remaining runs have the largest differences in effective |
this run. The remaining runs have the largest differences in effective |
384 |
ice thickness long the north coasts of Greenland and Ellesmere Island. |
ice thickness along the north coasts of Greenland and Ellesmere Island. |
385 |
Although the effects of TEM and \citet{hibler87}'s ice-ocean stress |
Although the effects of TEM and \citet{hibler87}'s ice-ocean stress |
386 |
formulation are so different on the initial ice velocities, both runs |
formulation are so different on the initial ice velocities, both runs |
387 |
have similarly reduced ice thicknesses in this area. The 3rd-order |
have similarly reduced ice thicknesses in this area. The 3rd-order |
395 |
fields) was on the order of $10,000\text{km$^{3}$}$; this range was |
fields) was on the order of $10,000\text{km$^{3}$}$; this range was |
396 |
even larger for coupled climate models. Here, the range (and the |
even larger for coupled climate models. Here, the range (and the |
397 |
averaging period) is smaller than $4,000\text{km$^{3}$}$ except for |
averaging period) is smaller than $4,000\text{km$^{3}$}$ except for |
398 |
the run \mbox{C-LSR-ns~WTD} where the more complicated thermodynamics |
the run \mbox{C-LSR-ns~WTD} where the more complete thermodynamics |
399 |
leads to generally thicker ice (\reffig{icethick} and |
lead to generally thicker ice (\reffig{icethick} and |
400 |
\reftab{icevolume}). |
\reftab{icevolume}). |
401 |
\begin{table}[t] |
\begin{table}[t] |
402 |
\begin{tabular}{lr@{\hspace{5ex}}r@{$\pm$}rr@{$\pm$}rr@{$\pm$}r} |
\begin{tabular}{lr@{\hspace{5ex}}r@{$\pm$}rr@{$\pm$}rr@{$\pm$}r} |
431 |
different experiments has consequences for the ice transport out of |
different experiments has consequences for the ice transport out of |
432 |
the Arctic. Although by far the most exported ice drifts through the |
the Arctic. Although by far the most exported ice drifts through the |
433 |
Fram Strait (approximately $2300\pm610\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$), a |
Fram Strait (approximately $2300\pm610\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$), a |
434 |
considerable amount (order $160\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$) ice is |
considerable amount (order $160\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$) of ice is |
435 |
exported through the Canadian Arctic Archipelago \citep[and references |
exported through the Canadian Arctic Archipelago \citep[and references |
436 |
therein]{serreze06}. Note, that ice transport estimates are associated |
therein]{serreze06}. Note, that ice transport estimates are associated |
437 |
with large uncertainties; also note that tuning an Arctic sea |
with large uncertainties and that the results presented herein have not |
438 |
ice-ocean model to reproduce observations is not our goal, but we use |
yet been constrained by observations; we use |
439 |
the published numbers as an orientation. |
the published numbers as an orientation. |
440 |
|
|
441 |
\reffig{archipelago} shows an excerpt of a time series of daily |
\reffig{archipelago} shows an excerpt of a time series of daily |
467 |
$256\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$) than in \citet{dey81} who estimates an |
$256\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$) than in \citet{dey81} who estimates an |
468 |
inflow into Baffin Bay of $370$ to $537\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$, but |
inflow into Baffin Bay of $370$ to $537\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$, but |
469 |
a flow of only $102$ to $137\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$ further |
a flow of only $102$ to $137\text{\,km$^3$\,y$^{-1}$}$ further |
470 |
upstream in Barrow Strait in the 1970ies from satellite images. |
upstream in Barrow Strait in the 1970's from satellite images. |
471 |
Generally, the EVP solutions have the highest maximum (export out of |
Generally, the EVP solutions have the highest maximum (export out of |
472 |
the Artic) and lowest minimum (import into the Artic) fluxes as the |
the Artic) and lowest minimum (import into the Artic) fluxes as the |
473 |
drift velocities are largest in these solutions. In the extreme of |
drift velocities are largest in these solutions. In the extreme of |