Optimal observations for variational data assimilation: Determining the overturning in the North Atlantic Armin Koehl An important aspect of ocean state estimation is the design of an observing system that allows to efficiently study climate aspects in the ocean. A solution of a design problem is presented here in terms of optimal observations that emerge as nondimensionalized singular vectors of the data resolution matrix. It is demonstrated that such optimal observations when applied to determining the strength of the overturning stream-function in the North Atlantic at 30 N in 900 m perform significantly better than section data in a 1 degree model. Preferred locations for hydrographic observations are primarily located along the western boundary north of 30N and along the eastern boundary south of 30 N and in the Iberian Sea. By revealing the main processes that accompany anomalies of the overturning, optimal observations are ideally suited for studying causes and effects of anomalies. The response on short time-scales is mainly wind driven and accounts for about two thirds of the anomaly, it includes Eckman transport and coastal up- and down-welling. A small part of the response is buoyancy driven and a slow response to primarily winter time anomalies in the Labrador Sea. Temperature and salinity anomalies in the initial conditions manifests induce alterations of the western boundary currents. The overall picture for year 1997 is an east west density contrast that manifests primarily along the boundaries in the upper 1000 m.